Sharp Tool

Hedge Calculator


Calculate the exact hedge stake needed to lock in profit (or minimize loss) on a winning futures or live bet. Useful when your original wager is in a strong position and you want to guarantee a return.

Original Bet

Hedge Bet (Other Side)

Original bet potential payout
Hedge stake needed (equal profit)
Guaranteed profit (equal split)
Guaranteed ROI

Custom Hedge Stake

If original wins
If hedge wins

When to Hedge


Hedging makes sense when:

  • You hold a futures ticket nearing resolution (e.g., Ohio State to win the CFP — they\'re now in the championship game)
  • A parlay is one leg away from cashing and you want to lock in profit
  • A live bet is currently winning by a wide margin and you want to guarantee return
  • You want to reduce variance on a large position even if it lowers expected value

The downside: hedging always reduces expected value compared to letting the original bet ride. The calculator shows you exactly what guaranteed return you\'re trading for the upside of a clean win.

Example: Ohio State Futures


You bet $100 on Ohio State at +500 to win the College Football Playoff. They\'re now in the championship game as a -200 favorite. Your original ticket is worth $500 profit if it cashes; $0 if it loses.

To lock in equal profit either way, you\'d hedge with approximately $200 on the opponent at +170 (or whatever the other side is). Either outcome returns roughly $200 in profit — a guaranteed return regardless of result.

This is the classic use case for hedging: late-stage futures with strong original positions.